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All time performance
Win & loss
$2,621.49
Total buys
$8,464.71
Rewards
$2,784.68
Winnings
$8,301.52
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bycontext14h ago
Active
Will Eric Adams apologize on X for the $NYC token rug pull?
NYCMayor's X profileericadamsfornyc's X profile
2 sources
6d left
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$32.19+543%
Boosted
$250.00
bycontext1d ago
Active
Will Jerome Powell be removed from office?
deltaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
35 sources
12d left
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$10.73+7%
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$45.22+804%
Boosted
$600.00
byagent552d ago
Lost
Will Sevilla beat Celta today?
LaLiga's X profileSevillaFC_ENG's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Jan 13 2026
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$110.91+2118%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext3d ago
Active
Will Context officially buy Greenland before Donald Trump posts about it?
context's X profilerealDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
8 sources
11d left
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$65.18+30%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext5d ago
Active
Will Drake diss Kendrick Lamar on his new album?
billboard's X profilechartdata's X profilepitchfork's X profile
10 sources
8d left
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$5.84+16%
Boosted
$100.00
by176d ago
Lost
Will Arsenal win their match against Liverpool today?
Arsenal's X profileLFC's X profilepremierleague's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Jan 9 2026
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$63.74+537%
Boosted
$0.00
byagent557d ago
Lost
Will Tottenham win their Premier League match against Bournemouth today?
premierleague's X profileSpursOfficial's X profileafcbournemouth's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Jan 8 2026
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$112.36+2147%
Boosted
$0.00
by0xmusictim8d ago
Lost
Will a 'secret' Stranger Things episode be announced?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profilePageSix's X profile
26 sources
Resolved Jan 14 2026
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$525.16+10403%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext8d ago
Lost
Will the Panthers or Jaguars win their first playoff game this NFL season?
AtlantaFalcons's X profilePanthers's X profileSaints's X profile
22 sources
Resolved Jan 12 2026
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$140.93+1309%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext8d ago
Active
Will Delcy Rodriguez be removed from power in Venezuela?
nytimes's X profileReuters's X profileAP's X profile
29 sources
6d left
Bought$15.00 No
To win
$17.73+18%
Boosted
$100.00
bygarrett8d ago
Active
Will the U.S. intervene diplomatically or militarily in Russia and Ukraine?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
17 sources
5d left
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$5.13+2%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext9d ago
Lost
Will 5+ Crypto Twitter accounts post that a new crypto bull market has started?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
50 sources
Resolved Jan 13 2026
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$119.82+1098%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext9d ago
Active
Will US federal government agree on a funding bill to avoid a shutdown?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
31 sources
5d left
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$14.96+199%
Bought$30.00 Yes
To win
$50.81+69%
Boosted
$200.00
bycontext9d ago
Active
Will any VC & Tech Twitter accounts post "2026: Year of AGI"?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
51 sources
5d left
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$14.92+49%
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$27.78+38%
Boosted
$100.00
byaffirmex12d ago
Active
Will 3+ accounts post on X refusing taxes due to 'Somali fraud'?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
173 sources
1d left
Bought$12.00 No
To win
$13.78+14%
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$8.05+60%
Boosted
$100.00
bylutra13d ago
Lost
Will December US unemployment data show a decline?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
11 sources
Resolved Jan 9 2026
Bought$2.00 Yes
To win
$3.06+52%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext16d ago
Lost
Will ≥2 VC & Tech Twitter accounts post Holmes/Balwani text exchanges by New Year's Day?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
51 sources
Resolved Jan 2 2026
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$28.18+181%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext16d ago
Lost
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a peace deal ending the conflict?
deltaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
15 sources
Resolved Jan 12 2026
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$387.15+3771%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext19d ago
Lost
Will @quakestoday report an earthquake 5 minutes after midnight on New Year's Eve?
QuakesToday's X profile
1 source
Resolved Jan 1 2026
Bought$25.00 Yes
To win
$292.67+1070%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext19d ago
Lost
Will any Crypto Twitter account post a 2026 resolution to make money?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
50 sources
Resolved Dec 31 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$286.06+2760%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext19d ago
Lost
Will @nymetrowx report over 6 inches of snow for NYC by December 27?
nymetrowx's X profileNWS's X profileweatherchannel's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Dec 28 2025
Bought$15.00 Yes
To win
$136.10+807%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext19d ago
Lost
Will news accounts report a successful Trump-Zelensky peace meeting on December 29?
deltaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
29 sources
Resolved Dec 30 2025
Bought$25.00 No
To win
$118.23+372%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext26d ago
Lost
Will Jake Paul post content interpreted as "shit talk" on X?
jakepaul's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 21 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$42.60+326%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext26d ago
Lost
Will JD Vance post about attending Christmas Mass?
JDVance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 27 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$11.50+14%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext26d ago
Lost
Will Elon Musk post about the Epstein files?
elonmusk's X profile
1 source
Resolved Jan 2 2026
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$7.61+52%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex26d ago
Lost
Will mass media or Gen Z influencers criticize the ADL for a forced apology by January 2, 2026?
nytimes's X profileReuters's X profileAP's X profile
35 sources
Resolved Jan 2 2026
Bought$3.07 Yes
To win
$250.00+8055%
Boosted
$0.00
byspock28d ago
Lost
Will Santa deliver 8.2-8.3 billion gifts for Christmas 2025?
NoradSanta's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 31 2025
Bought$60.00 Yes
To win
$92.37+53%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext28d ago
Lost
Will Trump announce war with Venezuela OR $1000+ checks on December 17, 2025?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profilePOTUS's X profile
25 sources
Resolved Dec 18 2025
Bought$110.00 No
To win
$642.35+483%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext30d ago
Lost
Will an arrest be made in the Brown University shooting by December 22?
AP's X profileCNN's X profileNBCNews's X profile
16 sources
Resolved Dec 20 2025
Bought-$1.13 Yes
To win
$350.00
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext33d ago
Lost
Will NORAD Santa Tracker show Santa's delivery lasting over 30 hours?
NoradSanta's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 26 2025
Bought-$72.11 Yes
To win
$50.71
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext33d ago
Lost
Will @noradsanta post Santa has returned before 12:10 PM on Christmas Day?
NoradSanta's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 25 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$6.16+23%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext34d ago
Lost
Will Chicago, Cleveland, New York, Boston, or Detroit have a white Christmas?
NWSChicago's X profileNWSCLE's X profileNWSNewYorkNY's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Dec 25 2025
Bought$180.00 Yes
To win
$397.02+120%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex34d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 before December 25, 2025?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
9 sources
Resolved Dec 14 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$208.36+4067%
Boosted
$0.00
byaria35d ago
Lost
Will Roma beat Celtic on December 11?
OfficialASRoma's X profileCelticFC's X profileEuropaLeague's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Dec 12 2025
Bought$0.00 No
To win
$1,000.00+99999999900%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext37d ago
Lost
Will James Madison, Miami, or Tulane win a first round playoff game on Dec 19 or 20?
ESPNCFB's X profileCFBAlerts_'s X profileMatchupTracker's X profile
9 sources
Resolved Dec 21 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$767.40+7574%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext37d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin go up ≥3% in 24h after @fuckeveryword posts "fucking bullish"?
BowTiedPriceBot's X profilefuckeveryword's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Dec 16 2025
Bought$7.57 Yes
To win
$100.00+1220%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex38d ago
Lost
Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump post humorously about UFO files?
elonmusk's X profilerealDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Dec 15 2025
Bought$3.00 Yes
To win
$158.80+5193%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex38d ago
Lost
Will VC, CEO, or media accounts post about a boycott of AI-generated Christmas ads?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
79 sources
Resolved Dec 10 2025
Bought$2.00 No
To win
$253.62+12581%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex38d ago
Lost
Will Poland be seen as a safe and economically independent country?
cnni's X profileTheEconomist's X profileBBCWorld's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Dec 15 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$258.69+5073%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext41d ago
Lost
Will @fuckeveryword post "fucking bullish" by December 13, 2025?
fuckeveryword's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 14 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$7.12+42%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext42d ago
Lost
Will any VC post a Spotify Wrapped showing Taylor Swift as a favorite artist?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
80 sources
Resolved Dec 17 2025
Bought$9.54 Yes
To win
$100.00+948%
Boosted
$0.00
byattentiontrader42d ago
Lost
Will PlayBabylon announce a Clanker Presale this Thursday on X?
PlayBabylon's X profileclanker_world's X profiledwr's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Dec 5 2025
Bought$4.42 Yes
To win
$100.00+2164%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst43d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
5 sources
Resolved Dec 10 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$8.28+65%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext43d ago
Lost
Will @lighter_xyz announce a Token Generation Event (TGE)?
Lighter_xyz's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 16 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$106.84+2036%
Boosted
$0.00
bytbickle43d ago
Lost
Will Elon Musk post more than 230 tweets?
elonmusk's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$0.72 Yes
To win
$100.00+13766%
Boosted
$0.00
bytbickle43d ago
Lost
Will Donald Trump post more than 100 times?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Dec 11 2025
Bought$3.00 No
To win
$161.59+5286%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor46d ago
Lost
Will a VC post positively about personal magic mushroom (psilocybin) use?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
44 sources
Resolved Dec 4 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$7.18+43%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex46d ago
Lost
Will @BitcoinFear post a Fear & Greed Index score of 30 or more?
BitcoinFear's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 7 2025
Bought$43.32 Yes
To win
$500.00+1054%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex46d ago
Lost
Will any NBA game have a final score margin of 30+ points?
theScoreNBA's X profileTheSteinLine's X profileWindhorstESPN's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$2.78 Yes
To win
$150.00+5302%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex46d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter accounts publish "Santa rally" about crypto?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
91 sources
Resolved Dec 10 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$171.44+1614%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext47d ago
Lost
Will @RegionalUSFood post disgusting-looking food?
RegionalUSFood's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$25.00 Yes
To win
$34.38+37%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext47d ago
Lost
Will @FirstLadyOffice post White House Christmas decorations with a darker theme?
FirstLadyOffice's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 12 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$12.16+143%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext50d ago
Lost
Will 2+ VC & Venture Capitalists post non-turkey Thanksgiving main proteins?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
44 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$16.47+64%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext50d ago
Lost
Will Trump wish a Happy Thanksgiving to his haters?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$58.47+16%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex50d ago
Lost
Will POPMART announce or sell a Christmas Labubu product?
POPMARTGlobal's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 9 2025
Bought-$0.28 Yes
To win
$200.00
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext51d ago
Lost
Will JD Vance share a family Thanksgiving photo with Usha Vance?
JDVance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 2 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$8.27+65%
Boosted
$0.00
byawesome51d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin price reach $100,000?
BowTiedPriceBot's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 30 2025
Bought$5.08 Yes
To win
$32.52+540%
Boosted
$0.00
bydotethguy51d ago
Lost
Will Arsenal beat Bayern Munich in their Champions League match?
Arsenal's X profileFCBayern's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Nov 27 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$7.30+45%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac51d ago
Lost
Will Man City defeat Bayer Leverkusen?
ManCity's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 26 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$6.72+34%
Boosted
$0.00
bygarrett51d ago
Lost
Will Labubus be mentioned or appear in the NYC Thanksgiving parade?
nypost's X profileABC's X profileCBSNews's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$269.72+2597%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen52d ago
Lost
Will the Heat-76ers game score be a Scorigami or occur 50+ times?
NBA_Scorigami_'s X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 24 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$1.42+42%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex52d ago
Lost
Will @nbastats tweet about a 60+ point NBA game?
theScoreNBA's X profileTheSteinLine's X profileWindhorstESPN's X profile
14 sources
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$458.69+9073%
Boosted
$0.00
bypepe52d ago
Lost
Will US military attack Venezuelan territory or forces?
AP's X profileReuters's X profilenytimes's X profile
20 sources
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$112.00 No
To win
$225.10+100%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex53d ago
Lost
Will @whale_alert post about a $100M+ Bitcoin transaction from a dormant whale?
whale_alert's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
11 sources
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$1.29 Yes
To win
$100.00+7644%
Boosted
$0.00
bysarahfan54d ago
Lost
Will Trump mention "Polymarket" on his X accounts?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Dec 5 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$6.92+592%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext55d ago
Lost
Will Spotify Wrapped launch?
Spotify's X profilepitchfork's X profilestereogum's X profile
23 sources
Resolved Dec 3 2025
Bought$3.00 Yes
To win
$256.88+8462%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext55d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter post completely brainless content after @fuckeveryword tweets "fucking brainless"?
fuckeveryword's X profilecobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profile
52 sources
Resolved Nov 22 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$7.50+50%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen55d ago
Lost
Will @QuakesToday report a >2 magnitude earthquake after a Bulls/Trail Blazers score from @nba_scorigami_?
QuakesToday's X profileNBA_Scorigami_'s X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$2.00 Yes
To win
$3.72+86%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext55d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin drop 3% or more within 24 hours of NVDA earnings release?
BowTiedPriceBot's X profileDeItaone's X profileWSJ's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$15.00 No
To win
$21.68+44%
Boosted
$0.00
byattentiontrader56d ago
Lost
Will Jesse Pollak's $Jesse Creator Coin reach a $22 Million FDV?
jessepollak's X profilejs_horne's X profilezora's X profile
4 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$364.61+3546%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext56d ago
Lost
Will Black Friday sales or foot traffic be down from 2024?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileDeItaone's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 29 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$166.00+730%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext57d ago
Lost
Will 410+ House members and 90+ Senators vote to release Epstein files?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
25 sources
Resolved Dec 2 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$224.14+2141%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst57d ago
Lost
Will Trump post encouraging people to buy stocks?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Dec 1 2025
Bought$12.00 Yes
To win
$53.64+346%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex59d ago
Lost
Will Stranger Things 5 be #1 on Netflix Global with positive critical sentiment?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profileDiscussingFilm's X profile
20 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$6.00 Yes
To win
$210.88+3414%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext61d ago
Lost
Will "All I Want for Christmas is You" hit Billboard Hot 100 top 20?
billboard's X profilePopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$18.10+261%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex61d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin price reach $100,000?
Cointelegraph's X profileCoinDesk's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
23 sources
Resolved Nov 17 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$527.01+5170%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex61d ago
Lost
Will Pudgy Penguins announce a new licensing deal?
pudgypenguins's X profileDeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 15 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$51.75+5075%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex61d ago
Lost
Will LayerZero confirm specific airdrop details?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
59 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$2.00 Yes
To win
$53.32+2566%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext61d ago
Lost
Will @NFLTdowns post 80+ cumulative touchdowns for NFL Week 11 games?
NFLTdowns's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 25 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$5.32+432%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext62d ago
Lost
Will JD Vance comment on the Epstein releases?
JDVance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$2.00 Yes
To win
$6.65+232%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext62d ago
Lost
Will Fantasy Top reverse their shutdown and TGE decisions?
fantasy_top_'s X profiletravisbickle0x's X profile0xMikado's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Nov 27 2025
Bought$14.43 Yes
To win
$61.27+324%
Boosted
$0.00
bylulu63d ago
Lost
Will MetaMask confirm an airdrop via major crypto news accounts?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$4.66+366%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex64d ago
Lost
Will Taylor Swift's 'The Fate of Ophelia' remain #1 on Global Spotify for 3 days?
taylorswift13's X profilePopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$132.71+1227%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex64d ago
Lost
Will BTC be >$100,000 AND ETH >$3,000?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
8 sources
Resolved Nov 23 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$158.36+3067%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex65d ago
Lost
Will Daniel Ek or credible sources comment on "military AI," "Helsing," or "boycott" accusations?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
22 sources
Resolved Nov 18 2025
Bought$2.00 Yes
To win
$53.32+2566%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext65d ago
Lost
Will a Trump cabinet member be fired or step down?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
17 sources
Resolved Nov 24 2025
Bought$20.00 Yes
To win
$81.41+307%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext65d ago
Lost
Will Monad's public token sale be sold out?
monad's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 18 2025
Bought$50.00 Yes
To win
$305.80+511%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac67d ago
Lost
Will Zcash (ZEC) hit $1000?
0xMert_'s X profilenotthreadguy's X profileCoinDesk's X profile
9 sources
Resolved Nov 15 2025
Bought$15.00 Yes
To win
$59.97+299%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext68d ago
Lost
Will Mariah Carey post about "All I Want for Christmas Is You"?
MariahCarey's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$105.98+2019%
Boosted
$0.00
bypepe68d ago
Lost
Will the US military attack Venezuelan territory or forces?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
13 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$3.00 Yes
To win
$15.65+421%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex68d ago
Lost
Will a scandal or shocking event occur involving Grammy nominations?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profileDiscussingFilm's X profile
19 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought-$0.22 Yes
To win
$75.00
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex68d ago
Lost
Will Crypto accounts blame Mercury Retrograde for a crypto price drop?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
58 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$7.00 Yes
To win
$389.97+5470%
Boosted
$0.00
bynftkid69d ago
Lost
Will X.com/target post Black Friday deals before X.com/bestbuy?
Target's X profileBestBuy's X profilecnnbrk's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$2.57+156%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext69d ago
Lost
Will @NBA_Scorigami_ confirm an NBA Scorigami final score?
NBA_Scorigami_'s X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 11 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$77.13+671%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex69d ago
Lost
Will Manchester City defeat Liverpool in their Premier League match?
LFC's X profileManCity's X profileSkySportsPL's X profile
4 sources
Resolved Nov 9 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$223.18+4363%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex69d ago
Lost
Will Chelsea keep a clean sheet against Wolverhampton?
ChelseaFC's X profileBBCSport's X profileSkySportsNews's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 9 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$284.31+5586%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext70d ago
Lost
Will @dexerto mention "The Rizzler"?
Dexerto's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 7 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$8.86+77%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext70d ago
Lost
Will 3+ @EthBushwick Perpswick traders have positive PnLs?
EthBushwick's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 7 2025
Bought$51.00 Yes
To win
$172.28+237%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext70d ago
Lost
Will Taylor Swift announce a lawsuit over "Fate of Ophelia"?
taylorswift13's X profilePopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 19 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$133.02+1230%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext70d ago
Lost
Will new episode of Up Only TV air?
cobie's X profileUpOnlyTV's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 19 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$18.66+86%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext70d ago
Lost
Will @popcrave fit pic posts average 7/10 or higher?
PopCrave's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought$2.28 No
To win
$100.00+4279%
Boosted
$0.00
bygarrett70d ago
Lost
Will the US government shutdown end?
deltaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
38 sources
Resolved Nov 14 2025
Bought$4.33 No
To win
$100.00+2210%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext70d ago
Lost
Will Trump announce ICE raids or National Guard deployment to NYC?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profilenytimes's X profile
14 sources
Resolved Nov 19 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$137.14+1271%
Boosted
$0.00
byattn7870d ago
Lost
Will any Crypto Twitter influencer announce selling personal belongings?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
52 sources
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$215.93+2059%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext71d ago
Lost
Will Trump post about Dick Cheney?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 6 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$1,014.99+10049%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext71d ago
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani or Andrew Cuomo post more images of beautiful women?
ZohranKMamdani's X profileandrewcuomo's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$265.65+2556%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext71d ago
Lost
Will JD Vance post about Mamdani, Cuomo, or the NYC mayoral election?
JDVance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$27.59+451%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen71d ago
Lost
Will FC Bayern Munich win their match against PSG?
FCBayern's X profileFCBayernEN's X profilePSG_English's X profile
14 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$11.00 No
To win
$97.64+787%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex72d ago
Lost
Will 5+ crypto influencers post "generational bottom" with a sexy photo?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
52 sources
Resolved Nov 11 2025
Bought$9.55 Yes
To win
$120.00+1156%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen73d ago
Lost
Will AS Roma win their match against AC Milan?
SerieA's X profileSerieA_EN's X profileacmilan's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 3 2025
Bought$19.95 Yes
To win
$130.24+552%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac73d ago
Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo place second or higher in the NYC mayoral election?
PolymarketBuild's X profilePolymarketSport's X profilePolymarketFC's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Nov 7 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$5.18+3%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex74d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter be mostly bullish, bearish, or broken?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileDeItaone's X profile
67 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$126.49+532%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex75d ago
Lost
Will two or more major news accounts report MEXC suspending withdrawals?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profiledeltaone's X profile
36 sources
Resolved Nov 11 2025
Bought$4.57 Yes
To win
$50.00+992%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext75d ago
Lost
Will the World Series end on a home run?
Dodgers's X profileBlueJays's X profileMlbScorecards's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 3 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$9.01+80%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext75d ago
Lost
Will World Series end on a strikeout?
MlbScorecards's X profileMLB's X profileJeffPassan's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 3 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$9.15+83%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst75d ago
Lost
Will US conduct military action in/against Venezuela?
deltaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
28 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$13.52+35%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext75d ago
Lost
Will any of 50+ crypto accounts tweet "Upvember"?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
52 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$10.83+116%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext75d ago
Lost
Will the US government shutdown end?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
17 sources
Resolved Nov 14 2025
Bought-$5.48 No
To win
$500.00
Boosted
$0.00
byxxx75d ago
Lost
Will Real Madrid win their match against Valencia?
espn's X profileBleacherReport's X profileSkySportsNews's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$4.86 Yes
To win
$100.00+1958%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext75d ago
Lost
Will JD Vance post a picture dressed as the "fat JD Vance" meme for Halloween?
JDVance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$56.76+1035%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex76d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter post more positive than negative sentiment about the market?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$57.11+5610%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex76d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
12 sources
Resolved Nov 11 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$55.50+5449%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex76d ago
Lost
Will Barcelona win against Elche AND Lewandowski score a goal?
espn's X profileBleacherReport's X profileSkySportsNews's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 4 2025
Bought$2.13 Yes
To win
$50.00+2248%
Boosted
$0.00
byfocusedpilot76d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin trade at $107,000 or below?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
12 sources
Resolved Oct 31 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$2.57+156%
Boosted
$0.00
byworm76d ago
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win his election by over 10%?
nytimes's X profileReuters's X profileAP's X profile
13 sources
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$12.80+27%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext76d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter post more banger than cringe content?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Oct 30 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$22.32+123%
Boosted
$0.00
byworm76d ago
Lost
Will Zora announce Solana coin support?
zora's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 12 2025
Bought$7.00 Yes
To win
$8.59+22%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext77d ago
Lost
Will at least 3 VCs or tech influencers from a comprehensive list post they are ordering a Neo robot?
DavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profilepaulg's X profile
92 sources
Resolved Nov 11 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$6.81+36%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext78d ago
Lost
Will any of MSFT, META, GOOGL, AAPL, or AMZN be reported to have dropped over 3% in after-hours trading following their earnings releases this week?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Oct 30 2025
Bought$15.00 No
To win
$24.33+62%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext78d ago
Lost
Will the average amount in 'MON REVEALED' screenshots from specified accounts on October 30 be greater than 125,000?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
93 sources
Resolved Oct 31 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$6.96+39%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext78d ago
Lost
Will at least 5 specified Crypto or NFT Twitter accounts post a screenshot of a 'MON REVEALED' result over 500k MON?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
93 sources
Resolved Nov 1 2025
Bought-$1.59 Yes
To win
$100.00
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext78d ago
Lost
Will the reaction from Crypto Twitter to the Monad airdrop be positive today?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Oct 29 2025
Bought$1.60 No
To win
$25.00+1459%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex78d ago
Lost
Will Deep Seek win the nof1.ai competition by more than $10,000 over second place?
the_nof1's X profileTechCrunch's X profileTechmeme's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$24.86+148%
Boosted
$0.00
byfocusedpilot81d ago
Lost
Will a major crypto news outlet report that @zackxbt has revealed a scam of over $10 million by November 7, 2025?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
4 sources
Resolved Nov 8 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$1.51+50%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex81d ago
Lost
Will the U.S. government impose new direct restrictions or embargoes on Chinese SaaS startups by November 1, 2025?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
19 sources
Resolved Nov 1 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$11.58+1058%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex81d ago
Lost
Will tech news accounts report that at least one CEO at Disrupt 2025 called AI a 'game-changer' or used similar transformative terms?
TechCrunch's X profileTechmeme's X profiletbpn's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$11.58+1058%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex81d ago
Lost
Will gold (XAU/USD) trade at or above $4,350 before the end of day on November 1, 2025?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileReuters's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$1.95 Yes
To win
$18.40+841%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex81d ago
Lost
Will a major crypto firm report insolvency by November 1, 2025?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
9 sources
Resolved Nov 1 2025
Bought$2.00 Yes
To win
$39.40+1869%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext82d ago
Lost
Will it be reported that Polymarket or Kalshi raised a new funding round by November 7, 2025?
Polymarket's X profileKalshi's X profileCoinDesk's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 7 2025
Bought$8.00 Yes
To win
$17.18+114%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext82d ago
Lost
Will @QuakesToday post about more earthquakes than @NFLTdowns posts about touchdowns on Sunday, October 26?
QuakesToday's X profileNFLTdowns's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Oct 27 2025
Bought$0.50 No
To win
$3.01+502%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext82d ago
Lost
On Sunday, will an earthquake be reported in an NFL team's home state within 15 minutes after that team scores a touchdown?
NFLTdowns's X profileQuakesToday's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Oct 27 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$4.06+305%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext82d ago
Lost
Will the combined margin of victory for the Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma, Missouri vs. Vanderbilt, and Texas A&M vs. LSU college football games be 20 points or greater?
OleMissFB's X profileOU_Football's X profileMizzouFootball's X profile
17 sources
Resolved Oct 26 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$2.20+119%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext83d ago
Lost
Will @MLBHR post about 15 or more home runs during the 2025 World Series?
MLBHR's X profileMLB's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Oct 31 2025
Bought$12.00 No
To win
$23.16+92%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext83d ago
Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series?
MLB's X profileJeffPassan's X profilemlbtraderumors's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Nov 3 2025
Bought$7.00 No
To win
$14.39+105%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex83d ago
Lost
Will major gaming news outlets report a 'recovery' in the CS2 item market?
CounterStrike's X profileIGN's X profileGameSpot's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 6 2025
Bought$6.03 Yes
To win
$21.57+257%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst83d ago
Lost
Will it be reported that Donald Trump has said or posted the word 'quantum'?
realDonaldTrump's X profileDeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profile
22 sources
Resolved Oct 31 2025
Bought$3.00 Yes
To win
$10.91+263%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext83d ago
Lost
Will any major sports news source report a new FBI arrest of an NBA player or coach for the gambling scandal?
ShamsCharania's X profilewojespn's X profileChrisBHaynes's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 6 2025
Bought$15.00 Yes
To win
$37.57+150%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext84d ago
Lost
Will at least 5 selected Crypto Twitter accounts post that the market has bottomed within a single 12-hour window?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$18.79+87%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext84d ago
Lost
Will @nymetrowx post a weather day rating of 7/10 or higher for 7 consecutive days?
nymetrowx's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$34.88+597%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext84d ago
Lost
Will the Jets bench Justin Fields by November 4?
AdamSchefter's X profileRapSheet's X profileNFL's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 4 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$8.05+60%
Boosted
$0.00
bydiamonds84d ago
Lost
Will a prominent financial analyst declare the 'AI bubble' has popped?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileWSJ's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Nov 4 2025
Bought$6.00 Yes
To win
$12.99+116%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext84d ago
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani make a 'woke' comment during the NYC mayoral debate on October 22, based on specified reporter accounts?
createcraig's X profileemilyngo's X profileJCColtin's X profile
14 sources
Resolved Oct 23 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$8.98+79%
Boosted
$0.00
byworm85d ago
Lost
Will @nymetrowx report a '10/10 weather day' in NYC before the end of October 2025?
nymetrowx's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 1 2025
Bought$0.77 Yes
To win
$8.66+1025%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext85d ago
Lost
Will @cobie post about a new episode of UpOnly airing by November 3, 2025?
cobie's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 3 2025
Bought$15.00 Yes
To win
$39.12+160%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex85d ago
Lost
Will any NFL team score 39 or more points during Week 8 of the 2025 season?
NFL's X profileAdamSchefter's X profileRapSheet's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Oct 27 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$40.50+709%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext86d ago
Lost
Will @elonmusk post a photo of himself in a Halloween costume by November 3?
elonmusk's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 3 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$28.09+461%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext87d ago
Lost
Will any specified Crypto Twitter account post a screenshot of a losing NFL bet slip today?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
61 sources
Resolved Oct 20 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$8.36+67%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext87d ago
Lost
Will news accounts describe the market reaction to Tesla's Q3 earnings as positive?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileDeItaone's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Oct 24 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$16.02+60%
Boosted
$0.00
byethirium88d ago
Lost
Will @the_nof1 announce that Deepseek has won its trading competition?
the_nof1's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 1 2025
Bought$0.00 Yes
To win
$10.00+499999900%
Boosted
$0.00
bytaco88d ago
Lost
Will the specified Crypto Twitter accounts post 'it's over' more times than 'we're so back' by October 25?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Oct 26 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$2.81+180%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext89d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin's price posted by @BTCPrice increase by 5% or more by the end of the weekend?
BTCPrice's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 20 2025
Bought$11.00 Yes
To win
$51.67+369%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex90d ago
Lost
Will it be reported that Elon Musk believes Nikita Bier's work is bad or that he should be fired from X?
elonmusk's X profileTechCrunch's X profileTechmeme's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Oct 24 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$5.62+12%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext90d ago
Lost
Will Donald Trump or major news outlets discuss the minting of a trillion-dollar coin?
realDonaldTrump's X profileDeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profile
21 sources
Resolved Oct 29 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$18.98+279%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor91d ago
Lost
Will at least 15 specified Crypto Twitter accounts post FUD about the Monad airdrop?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Oct 23 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$17.70+254%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor91d ago
Lost
Will @opensea announce that rewards are claimable by the end of Friday?
opensea's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 17 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$13.84+38%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex92d ago
Lost
Will it be officially confirmed that James Tupper has been cast in the new HBO Harry Potter series?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profileDiscussingFilm's X profile
13 sources
Resolved Oct 20 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$26.63+432%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex92d ago
Lost
Will a major entertainment news account post about a teaser video for 'Wednesday' Season 3 by October 25, 2025?
DiscussingFilm's X profileFilmUpdates's X profilePopCrave's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Oct 26 2025
Bought$6.00 Yes
To win
$38.24+537%
Boosted
$0.00
byworm99d ago
Lost
Will Polymarket's new US version require KYC?
Polymarket's X profilecobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profile
54 sources
Resolved Oct 21 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$15.60+212%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst100d ago
Lost
Will a McLaren F1 driver secure a podium finish at the 2025 United States Grand Prix?
espn's X profileBleacherReport's X profileSkySportsNews's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Oct 20 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$10.87+8%
Boosted
$0.00
bynever7d ago
Boost
Will a new prison photo of Tekashi 6ix9ine with a famous inmate be posted on X?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profilePageSix's X profile
15 sources
7d left
Boosted
$50.00