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toymaniac
All time performance
Win & loss
$314.05
Total buys
$1,708.00
Rewards
$356.69
Winnings
$1,665.37
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bycontext2d ago
Lost
Will Trump announce war with Venezuela OR $1000+ checks on December 17, 2025?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profilePOTUS's X profile
25 sources
Resolved Dec 18 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$6.75+34%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac17d ago
Lost
Will Spotify post 11 or more times?
Spotify's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 3 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$21.26+2026%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext24d ago
Lost
Will Trump wish a Happy Thanksgiving to his haters?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$15.00 No
To win
$23.20+54%
Boosted
$0.00
bydotethguy25d ago
Lost
Will Arsenal beat Bayern Munich in their Champions League match?
Arsenal's X profileFCBayern's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Nov 27 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$17.04+70%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac25d ago
Lost
Will Man City defeat Bayer Leverkusen?
ManCity's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 26 2025
Bought$16.00 Yes
To win
$24.06+50%
Boosted
$0.00
bygarrett25d ago
Lost
Will Labubus be mentioned or appear in the NYC Thanksgiving parade?
nypost's X profileABC's X profileCBSNews's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$29.97+49%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac47d ago
Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo place second or higher in the NYC mayoral election?
PolymarketBuild's X profilePolymarketSport's X profilePolymarketFC's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Nov 7 2025
Bought$2.00 Yes
To win
$3.22+60%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac48d ago
Lost
Will Elon Musk reply to or quote-tweet Sam Altman?
elonmusk's X profilesama's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$5.62+12%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext58d ago
Lost
Will @JDVance post a picture of his family in Halloween costumes?
JDVance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 1 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$15.53+55%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac64d ago
Lost
Will a new version of the Believe app with a revamped mechanism be launched by October 21, 2025?
pasternak's X profilebelieveapp's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Oct 21 2025
Bought$15.00 No
To win
$40.63+170%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac64d ago
Lost
Will @NYCMayor or @ericadamsfornyc post an endorsement of Andrew Cuomo?
NYCMayor's X profileericadamsfornyc's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Oct 23 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$5.60+459%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac64d ago
Lost
Will Gemini 3 be released by October 25, 2025?
GoogleDeepMind's X profilesundarpichai's X profileGeminiApp's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Oct 25 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$21.42+2042%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor65d ago
Lost
Will @opensea announce that rewards are claimable by the end of Friday?
opensea's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 17 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$65.45+30%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac65d ago
Lost
Will @cz_binance reply to @cjhtech on X by October 17, 2025?
cz_binance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 17 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$5.62+12%
Boosted
$0.00
bybet65d ago
Lost
Will @realDonaldTrump mention the word 'heaven' in a post by October 21?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profileDeItaone's X profile
15 sources
Resolved Oct 16 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$36.02+80%
Boosted
$0.00