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dotethguy
All time performance
Win & loss
$22,109.30
Total buys
$69,133.98
Rewards
$11,350.55
Winnings
$79,892.72
Filter:
byaria13h ago
Active
Will Arsenal beat Club Brugge in Champions League on December 10?
Arsenal's X profileClubBrugge's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
3 sources
2d left
Bought$30.00 Yes
To win
$44.04+46%
Boosted
$1,070.00
byaria13h ago
Active
Will Real Madrid beat Manchester City in UCL on December 10?
realmadrid's X profileManCity's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
3 sources
2d left
Bought$60.00 No
To win
$100.84+68%
Boosted
$2,140.00
bycontext18h ago
Active
Will Bitcoin go up ≥3% in 24h after @fuckeveryword posts "fucking bullish"?
BowTiedPriceBot's X profilefuckeveryword's X profile
2 sources
13d left
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$29.06+45%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext18h ago
Active
Will markets rally post-FOMC meeting on December 10, 2025?
DeItaone's X profileWSJ's X profileCNBC's X profile
7 sources
1d left
Bought$20.00 Yes
To win
$32.48+62%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext18h ago
Active
Will markets price in 25bps January rate cuts after the 12/10 FOMC meeting?
DeItaone's X profileCNBC's X profilebusiness's X profile
7 sources
2d left
Bought$20.00 Yes
To win
$32.48+62%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext18h ago
Active
Will Fed comments on Dec 10 FOMC meeting be dovish?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
10 sources
1d left
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$9.93+98%
Boosted
$0.00
byaria2d ago
Active
Will Barcelona beat Eintracht Frankfurt on December 9?
FCBarcelona's X profileEintracht's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
12 sources
1d left
Bought$100.00 Yes
To win
$144.93+44%
Boosted
$1,070.00
byaria2d ago
Active
Will Bayern München beat Sporting CP in UCL on December 9?
FCBayern's X profileSportingCP's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
3 sources
21h 57m left
Bought$100.00 Yes
To win
$143.03+43%
Boosted
$1,068.04
byaria3d ago
Active
Will Manchester United beat Wolverhampton?
ManUtd's X profileWolves's X profileOfficialFPL's X profile
3 sources
Resolving
Bought$424.55 Yes
To win
$521.60+22%
Boosted
$1,070.00
bycontext4d ago
Active
Will Polymarket or Kalshi announce a partnership with Fox News on X?
FoxNews's X profilePolymarket's X profileKalshi's X profile
3 sources
10d left
Bought$100.00 No
To win
$140.58+40%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext4d ago
Active
Will Trump post on X about the Netflix Warner Brothers acquisition?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
10d left
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$79.75+59%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext4d ago
Active
Will Zohran K. Mamdani post about the Palace Diner closing on X?
ZohranKMamdani's X profile
1 source
3d left
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$79.75+59%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext4d ago
Active
Will @RainbowFND announce a 2025 TGE date on X?
RainbowFND's X profile
1 source
10d left
Bought$50.00 Yes
To win
$79.75+59%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext6d ago
Active
Will any VC post a Spotify Wrapped showing Taylor Swift as a favorite artist?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
80 sources
8d left
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$85.58+71%
Boosted
$0.00
byattentiontrader6d ago
Lost
Will PlayBabylon announce a Clanker Presale this Thursday on X?
PlayBabylon's X profileclanker_world's X profiledwr's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Dec 5 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$17.54+75%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac7d ago
Lost
Will Liverpool win their match against Sunderland?
LFC's X profileSunderlandAFC's X profilepremierleague's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Dec 4 2025
Bought$6.50 Yes
To win
$1,000.00+15277%
Boosted
$0.00
byawesome7d ago
Active
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by at least 25 bps?
federalreserve's X profiledeltaone's X profilecnnbk's X profile
28 sources
2d left
Bought$220.00 Yes
To win
$271.44+23%
Boosted
$1,060.55
bytoymaniac7d ago
Lost
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid in their match?
FCBarcelona's X profileLaLiga's X profileatletienglish's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Dec 3 2025
Bought-$18.04 No
To win
$1,000.00
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac7d ago
Lost
Will Manchester City win their match against Fulham?
ManCity's X profileFulhamFC's X profilegoal's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Dec 3 2025
Bought$15.79 No
To win
$1,000.00+6231%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext8d ago
Active
Will Pete Hegseth step down or be removed as Secretary of Defense?
AP's X profilenytimes's X profileReuters's X profile
15 sources
6d left
Bought$250.00 No
To win
$294.66+17%
Boosted
$0.00
byanal9d ago
Active
Will US and Venezuela have direct military engagement?
AP's X profileReuters's X profilenytimes's X profile
17 sources
5d left
Bought$5.50 Yes
To win
$44.58+710%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext9d ago
Active
Will Bryan Johnson declare an end to his psychedelic use?
bryan_johnson's X profile
1 source
5d left
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$77.56+55%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac11d ago
Active
Will @context post about their TGE, airdrop, or token?
context's X profile
1 source
2d left
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$51.31+2%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext14d ago
Lost
Will 2+ VC & Venture Capitalists post non-turkey Thanksgiving main proteins?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
44 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$5.15 Yes
To win
$9.43+83%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext14d ago
Lost
Will Trump wish a Happy Thanksgiving to his haters?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$70.78+41%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext15d ago
Lost
Will a Democrat post "Happy Holidays" before a Republican posts "Merry Christmas"?
JoeBiden's X profileKamalaHarris's X profileBarackObama's X profile
114 sources
Resolved Dec 5 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$106.94+113%
Boosted
$0.00
byawesome15d ago
Lost
Will Trump announce a Ukraine-Russia peace framework?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profileReuters's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Nov 26 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$14.10+40%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac15d ago
Lost
Will Man City defeat Bayer Leverkusen?
ManCity's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 26 2025
Bought$2.59 Yes
To win
$1,000.00+38461%
Boosted
$0.00
bygarrett15d ago
Lost
Will Labubus be mentioned or appear in the NYC Thanksgiving parade?
nypost's X profileABC's X profileCBSNews's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$13.57+35%
Boosted
$0.00
bypepe16d ago
Lost
Will US military attack Venezuelan territory or forces?
AP's X profileReuters's X profilenytimes's X profile
20 sources
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$1,029.21+5046%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext19d ago
Lost
Will any major news source report a major Black Friday altercation?
ABC's X profileCBSNews's X profileCNN's X profile
17 sources
Resolved Nov 29 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$42.78+113%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext20d ago
Lost
Will Black Friday sales or foot traffic be down from 2024?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileDeItaone's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 29 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$34.26+242%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext25d ago
Lost
Will "All I Want for Christmas is You" hit Billboard Hot 100 top 20?
billboard's X profilePopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$15.00 No
To win
$51.86+245%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext25d ago
Lost
Will Barstool Sports make fun of the Jets?
barstoolsports's X profileBarstoolBigCat's X profilePardonMyTake's X profile
4 sources
Resolved Nov 14 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$9.15+83%
Boosted
$0.00
by2x25d ago
Lost
Will the Hawks beat the Jazz AND the total score be over 235.5 points?
NBA's X profilePacers's X profileutahjazz's X profile
18 sources
Resolved Nov 15 2025
Bought$11.02 No
To win
$22.80+106%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext26d ago
Lost
Will Drake Maye score more combined touchdowns than the Jets?
NFLTdowns's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 14 2025
Bought$20.00 Yes
To win
$49.07+145%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst27d ago
Lost
Will Trump post about Jeffrey Epstein?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profileDonaldJTrumpJr's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$19.20+91%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext28d ago
Lost
Will @Unsecured_CCTV post an image showing a red car?
Unsecured_CCTV's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 22 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$57.91+189%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext32d ago
Lost
Will @jessepollak post better or more insightfully than @jessexbt_ai?
jessepollak's X profilejessexbt_ai's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 14 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$17.87+257%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext33d ago
Lost
Will Disney and YouTube TV reach a content distribution deal?
YouTubeTV's X profilePopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profile
40 sources
Resolved Nov 16 2025
Bought$30.00 No
To win
$80.90+169%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex33d ago
Lost
Will Manchester City defeat Liverpool in their Premier League match?
LFC's X profileManCity's X profileSkySportsPL's X profile
4 sources
Resolved Nov 9 2025
Bought-$12.70 No
To win
$1,000.00
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext33d ago
Lost
Will Walmart or Amazon post Christmas-themed content?
Walmart's X profileamazon's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 8 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$19.96+299%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext34d ago
Lost
Will average turkey price be $25.67 or higher than 2024?
nytimes's X profileReuters's X profileAP's X profile
14 sources
Resolved Nov 19 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$17.96+79%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen35d ago
Lost
Will FC Bayern Munich win their match against PSG?
FCBayern's X profileFCBayernEN's X profilePSG_English's X profile
14 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$7.29 No
To win
$500.00+6761%
Boosted
$0.00
bylutra38d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin price be above $120,000?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
64 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$15.62+56%
Boosted
$0.00
bynever39d ago
Lost
Will Trump call out Nancy Pelosi for insider trading?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 8 2025
Bought$2.00 No
To win
$3.63+81%
Boosted
$0.00
byxxx39d ago
Lost
Will Real Madrid win their match against Valencia?
espn's X profileBleacherReport's X profileSkySportsNews's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$0.00 Yes
To win
$400.00+39999999900%
Boosted
$0.00
byworm40d ago
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win his election by over 10%?
nytimes's X profileReuters's X profileAP's X profile
13 sources
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought-$4.21 Yes
To win
$500.00
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext41d ago
Lost
Will @Polymarket or @Kalshi report that Zohran Mamdani's election odds are trading below 85 cents before midnight on Election Day, November 4, 2025?
Polymarket's X profileKalshi's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$20.00 Yes
To win
$34.92+74%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext42d ago
Lost
Will @WhiteHouse post a meme for Halloween that is deemed racist?
WhiteHouse's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 30 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$8.05+60%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext42d ago
Lost
Will the average amount in 'MON REVEALED' screenshots from specified accounts on October 30 be greater than 125,000?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
93 sources
Resolved Oct 31 2025
Bought$11.36 Yes
To win
$18.52+63%
Boosted
$0.00
bydotethguy46d ago
Lost
Will Tom Aspinall, Umar Nurmagomedov, and Ikram Aliskerov all win their fights at UFC 321?
espnmma's X profileMMAFighting's X profileufc's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Oct 26 2025
Bought$63.37 Yes
To win
$1,000.00+1478%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst47d ago
Lost
Will new US tariffs or restrictions on Chinese trade be announced?
realDonaldTrump's X profileWhiteHouse's X profileJDVance's X profile
18 sources
Resolved Oct 25 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$8.95+78%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex47d ago
Lost
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win Game 1 of the 2025 World Series?
MLB's X profileespn's X profileBleacherReport's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Oct 25 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$2.11+110%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext47d ago
Lost
Will @Lookonchain report that @machibigbrother has been liquidated in the next two weeks?
lookonchain's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 31 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$19.88+98%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext47d ago
Lost
Will @QuakesToday post about 6 or more consecutive earthquakes in a single US state?
QuakesToday's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 25 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$64.20+28%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext48d ago
Lost
Will @truflation report a U.S. inflation rate either above 2.4% or below 2.0%?
truflation's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 1 2025
Bought$150.00 No
To win
$702.63+368%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext51d ago
Lost
Will @scottiepippen post about dreaming of Bitcoin or Satoshi?
ScottiePippen's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 22 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$32.74+63%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext53d ago
Lost
Will @DonaldJTrumpJr post anything bullish about crypto?
DonaldJTrumpJr's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 23 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$8.98+79%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext53d ago
Lost
Will @nikitabier post about the X algorithm by October 23, 2025?
nikitabier's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 20 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$266.40+2563%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac54d ago
Lost
Will Gemini 3 be released by October 25, 2025?
GoogleDeepMind's X profilesundarpichai's X profileGeminiApp's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Oct 25 2025
Bought$0.00 Yes
To win
$500.00+49999999900%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext54d ago
Lost
Will @Bitfinexed post about PayPal minting $300 trillion in PYUSD?
Bitfinexed's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 17 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$25.27+152%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst55d ago
Lost
Will major news outlets post about a banking crisis?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
15 sources
Resolved Oct 18 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$18.53+85%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor60d ago
Lost
Will Tech VCs post more "hot takes" than Crypto VCs today?
DavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profilepaulg's X profile
76 sources
Resolved Oct 12 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$14.86+48%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext61d ago
Lost
Will a 4.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in a US state with a Buc-ee's location?
QuakesToday's X profileNWS's X profileAP's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Oct 13 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$17.35+73%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext61d ago
Lost
Will a specific 12-part sequence of posts occur across designated accounts within each hour today?
DeItaone's X profileQuakesToday's X profilePopCrave's X profile
59 sources
Resolved Oct 10 2025
Bought$42.50 Yes
To win
$93.78+120%
Boosted
$0.00
bybiffbuster61d ago
Lost
Will 'TRON: Ares' be the #1 movie at the U.S. box office for its opening weekend?
DiscussingFilm's X profileFilmUpdates's X profilePopCrave's X profile
12 sources
Resolved Oct 15 2025
Bought-$3.70 Yes
To win
$250.00
Boosted
$0.00
bytaco61d ago
Lost
Will Israel conduct a military strike on Iran by October 22, 2025?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
24 sources
Resolved Oct 14 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$28.03+40%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor65d ago
Lost
Will the Israeli government announce that all remaining hostages held by Hamas have been released by October 10, 2025?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
24 sources
Resolved Oct 12 2025
Bought$100.00 No
To win
$123.49+23%
Boosted
$0.00
bykarl68d ago
Lost
Will Metamask announce plans to launch a prediction market or integrate with Polymarket or Kalshi?
MetaMask's X profilePolymarket's X profileKalshi's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Oct 9 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$8.56+71%
Boosted
$0.00
byaren22268d ago
Lost
Will Max Verstappen score any points in the 2025 Formula 1 Singapore Grand Prix?
espn's X profileSkySportsNews's X profileBleacherReport's X profile
5 sources
Resolved Oct 8 2025
Bought-$0.93 Yes
To win
$100.00
Boosted
$0.00
bykarl68d ago
Lost
Will Zcash (ZEC) trade at or above $200 by October 15, 2025?
BowTiedPriceBot's X profileCoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profile
4 sources
Resolved Oct 11 2025
Bought$0.00 No
To win
$200.00+19999999900%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst68d ago
Lost
Will @Polymarket officially announce that it is open for users in the United States?
Polymarket's X profilecnnbrk's X profileDeItaone's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Oct 11 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$25.75+157%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext68d ago
Lost
Will any specified Venture Capitalist account make a post that appears to be AI-generated by October 3?
DavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profilepaulg's X profile
77 sources
Resolved Oct 3 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$8.26+65%
Boosted
$0.00
byzerobeta68d ago
Lost
Will tickers in consecutive token migration posts from @PumpFunScann form a haiku?
PumpFunScann's X profile
1 source
Resolved Oct 6 2025
Bought$0.00 No
To win
$200.00+19999999900%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor68d ago
Lost
Will the first letters of tickers from sequential Crypto Twitter posts spell a word of 4+ letters by tomorrow?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Oct 3 2025
Bought$20.00 No
To win
$36.87+84%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext69d ago
Lost
Will any specified Crypto Twitter accounts make fun of @gainzy222 regarding Zcash (ZEC)?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
53 sources
Resolved Oct 3 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$18.56+85%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext71d ago
Lost
Will the Jets-Dolphins game end before the Bengals score a touchdown?
NFL's X profileNFLTdowns's X profileNFLonFOX's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Oct 1 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$14.67+46%
Boosted
$0.00
byraycarburetor75d ago
Lost
Will a new crypto exploit of over $10 million be reported by a major source?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
8 sources
Resolved Oct 2 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$163.48+1534%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext77d ago
Lost
Will the x.com/SBF_FTX account make any new post?
SBF_FTX's X profile
1 source
Resolved Sep 24 2025
Bought$100.00 No
To win
$129.76+29%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext77d ago
Lost
Will @bryan_johnson post about Tylenol in the next 24 hours?
bryan_johnson's X profile
1 source
Resolved Sep 24 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$74.85+49%
Boosted
$0.00
byaria2d ago
Boost
Will Atletico Madrid beat PSV Eindhoven in UCL on December 9?
atletienglish's X profilePSV's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
3 sources
21h 57m left
Boosted
$1,070.00