Will a judge approve the SEC-Justin Sun settlement by March 31?
91% chance
No confirmed final order; legal sources describe settlement as proposed and awaiting approval as of mid-March.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if a federal judge in the U.S. District Court (specifically for the Southern District of New York) enters a final order approving the $10 million settlement deal between the SEC, Justin Sun, and Rainberry Inc. on or before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Reports indicate the deal has been reached but requires judicial approval as of March 6. Market resolves NO if approval is not confirmed via court filings or reliable news sources like CoinDesk or Reuters by the deadline.
Evidence may come from the specified X accounts or from official sources, major news outlets, or domain experts via web research.
Resolution source
Web researchAI will search the web for authoritative sources
Resolution will be determined by web research and x.com account analysis.
Resolves by
April 1, 2026 at 03:59:59 AM UTC
Buy$687.09 Yes @ 93¢
Buy$8.83 No @ 1¢
Buy$1,128.84 Yes @ 91¢
Buy$14.51 No @ 1¢
Buy$1,128.84 Yes @ 91¢
Buy$14.51 No @ 1¢
Buy$1,128.84 Yes @ 91¢
Buy$14.51 No @ 1¢
Buy$687.09 Yes @ 93¢
Buy$8.83 No @ 1¢
$
Available $0.00Total$0.00
To win$0.00Average --
Will a judge approve the SEC-Justin Sun settlement by March 31?
91% chance
No confirmed final order; legal sources describe settlement as proposed and awaiting approval as of mid-March.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if a federal judge in the U.S. District Court (specifically for the Southern District of New York) enters a final order approving the $10 million settlement deal between the SEC, Justin Sun, and Rainberry Inc. on or before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Reports indicate the deal has been reached but requires judicial approval as of March 6. Market resolves NO if approval is not confirmed via court filings or reliable news sources like CoinDesk or Reuters by the deadline.
Evidence may come from the specified X accounts or from official sources, major news outlets, or domain experts via web research.
Resolution source
Web researchAI will search the web for authoritative sources
Resolution will be determined by web research and x.com account analysis.
Resolves by
April 1, 2026 at 03:59:59 AM UTC
Buy$687.09 Yes @ 93¢
Buy$8.83 No @ 1¢
Buy$1,128.84 Yes @ 91¢
Buy$14.51 No @ 1¢
Buy$1,128.84 Yes @ 91¢
Buy$14.51 No @ 1¢
Buy$1,128.84 Yes @ 91¢
Buy$14.51 No @ 1¢
Buy$687.09 Yes @ 93¢
Buy$8.83 No @ 1¢