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$9,312.32
Total buys
$55,616.11
Rewards
$6,599.49
Winnings
$58,328.94
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byaffirmex19d ago
Lost
Will Anthropic rank higher than Mystery Model Alpha on the AI tournament leaderboard in 7 days?
grx_xce's X profilepredictionbench's X profile3xhuman's X profile
18 sources
Resolved Jan 21 2026
Bought$188.42 No
To win
$206.23+9%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext35d ago
Lost
Will Elizabeth Holmes post "This year is our year" on X?
ElizabethHolmes's X profile
1 source
Resolved Jan 2 2026
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$88.74+787%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext35d ago
Lost
Will Miami or Alabama win their upcoming quarterfinal games?
ESPNCFB's X profileCFBAlerts_'s X profileMatchupTracker's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Jan 2 2026
Bought$2.85 No
To win
$10.00+251%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext35d ago
Lost
Will Indiana make the College Football Playoff National Championship game?
IndianaFootball's X profileESPNCFB's X profileCFBAlerts_'s X profile
7 sources
Resolved Jan 4 2026
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$26.86+168%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext42d ago
Lost
Will the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves on Christmas Day?
NBA's X profiledenvernuggets's X profileTimberwolves's X profile
23 sources
Resolved Dec 26 2025
Bought$71.01 No
To win
$10.00
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext42d ago
Lost
Will the Knicks beat the Cavs on Christmas Day?
NBA's X profileespn's X profileBleacherReport's X profile
9 sources
Resolved Dec 26 2025
Bought$5.93 No
To win
$10.00+68%
Boosted
$0.00
byattentiontrader43d ago
Lost
Will @notbylght post on X before January 1st?
notbylght's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 25 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$9.75+95%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext48d ago
Lost
Will Trump wish 'Merry Christmas' to his 'haters' on X?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Dec 26 2025
Bought$284.45 No
To win
$373.38+31%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext52d ago
Lost
Will NORAD Santa Tracker show Santa's delivery lasting over 30 hours?
NoradSanta's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 26 2025
Bought$50.00 Yes
To win
$93.34+86%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen52d ago
Lost
Will @shrek post a Merry Christmas wish?
Shrek's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 19 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$66.12+32%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext53d ago
Lost
Will Kalen DeBoer be announced as Michigan's new head coach?
UMichFootball's X profileESPNCFB's X profileCFBAlerts_'s X profile
7 sources
Resolved Dec 29 2025
Bought$25.00 Yes
To win
$42.67+70%
Boosted
$0.00
byaria57d ago
Lost
Will Atletico Madrid beat PSV Eindhoven in UCL on December 9?
atletienglish's X profilePSV's X profileChampionsLeague's X profile
3 sources
Resolved Dec 10 2025
Bought$11.93 No
To win
$16.63+39%
Boosted
$0.00
byeric59d ago
Lost
Will any listed account post the Cam Newton Keon Coleman meme?
chamath's X profileDavidSacks's X profilepmarca's X profile
72 sources
Resolved Dec 13 2025
Bought$25.00 No
To win
$38.14+52%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext61d ago
Lost
Will an ACC team make the College Football Playoffs?
ESPNCFB's X profileCFBAlerts_'s X profileMatchupTracker's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Dec 8 2025
Bought$100.00 No
To win
$115.30+15%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst62d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
5 sources
Resolved Dec 10 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$10.23+104%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac62d ago
Lost
Will Spotify post 11 or more times?
Spotify's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 3 2025
Bought$2.00 No
To win
$3.06+52%
Boosted
$0.00
bytoymaniac63d ago
Lost
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid in their match?
FCBarcelona's X profileLaLiga's X profileatletienglish's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Dec 3 2025
Bought$77.43 No
To win
$102.02+31%
Boosted
$0.00
by2x68d ago
Lost
Will Atlético de Madrid beat Inter in the UCL match?
ChampionsLeague's X profileInter's X profileInter_en's X profile
9 sources
Resolved Nov 27 2025
Bought$100.00 No
To win
$102.79+2%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext69d ago
Lost
Will Trump wish a Happy Thanksgiving to his haters?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$62.36+24%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext69d ago
Lost
Will Thanksgiving Day NFL game margins total 21+ points?
NFL_Memes's X profileminakimes's X profileNFL's X profile
40 sources
Resolved Nov 29 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$19.15+91%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex69d ago
Lost
Will POPMART announce or sell a Christmas Labubu product?
POPMARTGlobal's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 9 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$8.93+78%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext70d ago
Lost
Will JD Vance share a family Thanksgiving photo with Usha Vance?
JDVance's X profile
1 source
Resolved Dec 2 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$5.29+428%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen71d ago
Lost
Will the Heat-76ers game score be a Scorigami or occur 50+ times?
NBA_Scorigami_'s X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 24 2025
Bought$341.71 No
To win
$727.14+112%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex72d ago
Lost
Will @whale_alert post about a $100M+ Bitcoin transaction from a dormant whale?
whale_alert's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
11 sources
Resolved Dec 6 2025
Bought$5.00 Yes
To win
$7.32+46%
Boosted
$0.00
byml72d ago
Lost
Will Spain win their Davis Cup match against Germany?
DavisCup's X profileespn's X profileBleacherReport's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 22 2025
Bought-$0.63 No
To win
$1,100.00
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen73d ago
Lost
Will @QuakesToday report a >2 magnitude earthquake after a Suns vs. Timberwolves NBA final score?
QuakesToday's X profileNBA_Scorigami_'s X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 22 2025
Bought$44.51 No
To win
$318.63+615%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext75d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin drop 3% or more within 24 hours of NVDA earnings release?
BowTiedPriceBot's X profileDeItaone's X profileWSJ's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$63.36+26%
Boosted
$0.00
byqueen75d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter post about a long liquidation over $150M?
whale_alert's X profilecoinglass_com's X profilerektcapital's X profile
49 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$5.00 No
To win
$13.37+167%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext76d ago
Lost
Will Black Friday sales or foot traffic be down from 2024?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileDeItaone's X profile
10 sources
Resolved Nov 29 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$6.27+527%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext77d ago
Lost
Will Sam Altman congratulate Google on Gemini 3?
sama's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 19 2025
Bought$70.00 No
To win
$87.26+24%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex78d ago
Lost
Will Stranger Things 5 be #1 on Netflix Global with positive critical sentiment?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profileDiscussingFilm's X profile
20 sources
Resolved Nov 28 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$1.45+44%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex78d ago
Lost
Will "No Other Choice" have more positive social media sentiment than "The Ugly"?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profileDiscussingFilm's X profile
19 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$8.14 No
To win
$500.00+6039%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex78d ago
Lost
Will "No Other Choice" win Best Film at the 46th Blue Dragon Awards?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profileDiscussingFilm's X profile
13 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$210.00 No
To win
$727.43+246%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext80d ago
Lost
Will "All I Want for Christmas is You" hit Billboard Hot 100 top 20?
billboard's X profilePopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Nov 20 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$52.40+424%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext83d ago
Lost
Will @Unsecured_CCTV post an image showing a red car?
Unsecured_CCTV's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 22 2025
Bought$135.00 No
To win
$208.08+54%
Boosted
$0.00
byvirtualone83d ago
Lost
Will Lina beat Alira in a Virtual MMA match via @virtual1sports?
Virtual1Sports's X profileespnmma's X profileMMAFighting's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Nov 15 2025
Bought$2.00 No
To win
$4.66+132%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext84d ago
Lost
Will Monad's public token sale be sold out?
monad's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 18 2025
Bought$53.98 Yes
To win
$200.00+270%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext84d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter claim "Alt Season has begun"?
cobie's X profileblknoiz06's X profilemdudas's X profile
52 sources
Resolved Nov 18 2025
Bought$9.86 Yes
To win
$15.67+58%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext84d ago
Lost
Will @blknoiz06 post about betting on the Eagles AND the Eagles win?
blknoiz06's X profileNFL's X profileAdamSchefter's X profile
8 sources
Resolved Nov 11 2025
Bought$17.58 No
To win
$20.61+17%
Boosted
$0.00
bybraeden86d ago
Lost
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.1?
OpenAI's X profileTechCrunch's X profileTechmeme's X profile
13 sources
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$1.29+28%
Boosted
$0.00
bynever87d ago
Lost
Will Danny Brown's album Stardust get favorable reviews?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profilechartdata's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 15 2025
Bought$20.00 Yes
To win
$36.35+81%
Boosted
$0.00
bypepe87d ago
Lost
Will the US military attack Venezuelan territory or forces?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
13 sources
Resolved Nov 21 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$46.35+363%
Boosted
$0.00
byfocusedpilot88d ago
Lost
Will @context post 5+ times on X?
context's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 9 2025
Bought$10.00 Yes
To win
$10.97+9%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext88d ago
Lost
Will @dog_rates post a dog rating 7+ points higher than the oracle's assessment?
dog_rates's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 13 2025
Bought$170.00 No
To win
$237.38+39%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex89d ago
Lost
Will Sabrina Carpenter be nominated for Record of the Year at the 2026 Grammys?
PopCrave's X profilePopBase's X profilebillboard's X profile
6 sources
Resolved Nov 8 2025
Bought$23.00 No
To win
$34.63+50%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext89d ago
Lost
Will @zillowgonewild post a listing with both a pool and a pool table?
zillowgonewild's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 8 2025
Bought$60.00 No
To win
$92.96+54%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext89d ago
Lost
Will @dexerto mention "The Rizzler"?
Dexerto's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 7 2025
Bought$50.00 No
To win
$78.59+57%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext91d ago
Lost
Will Mikie Sherrill beat Jack Ciattarelli for NJ governor by ≥4 points?
DeItaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
15 sources
Resolved Nov 6 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$25.28+152%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext92d ago
Lost
Will @nfltdowns post 60 or more touchdowns?
NFLTdowns's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 3 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$68.83+588%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex93d ago
Lost
Will Crypto Twitter be mostly bullish, bearish, or broken?
CNBC's X profilebusiness's X profileDeItaone's X profile
67 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$6.00 No
To win
$7.24+20%
Boosted
$0.00
bylutra94d ago
Lost
Will Bitcoin price be above $120,000?
CoinDesk's X profileCointelegraph's X profileTheBlock__'s X profile
64 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$11.01+10%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontekst94d ago
Lost
Will US conduct military action in/against Venezuela?
deltaone's X profilecnnbrk's X profileNewsWire_US's X profile
28 sources
Resolved Nov 2 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$15.53+55%
Boosted
$0.00
bynever94d ago
Lost
Will Trump call out Nancy Pelosi for insider trading?
realDonaldTrump's X profileTrumpTruthOnX's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Nov 8 2025
Bought$7.00 No
To win
$8.25+17%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex97d ago
Lost
Will any major US news outlets post about an Nvidia 'agentic AI' demo?
CNN's X profilenytimes's X profileWSJ's X profile
9 sources
Resolved Nov 8 2025
Bought$0.08 Yes
To win
$10.00+11814%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex97d ago
Lost
Will a crypto longs liquidation event exceeding $150M in a 24-hour period be reported by major crypto accounts?
whale_alert's X profilecoinglass_com's X profilerektcapital's X profile
9 sources
Resolved Nov 4 2025
Bought$1.00 No
To win
$2.12+112%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext101d ago
Lost
On Sunday, will an earthquake be reported in an NFL team's home state within 15 minutes after that team scores a touchdown?
NFLTdowns's X profileQuakesToday's X profile
2 sources
Resolved Oct 27 2025
Bought$29.58 No
To win
$77.30+161%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext102d ago
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani be declared the winner of the 2025 NYC Mayoral Election by 10 p.m. ET on Election Day?
nytimes's X profileReuters's X profileAP's X profile
16 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$40.00 No
To win
$96.46+141%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext103d ago
Lost
Will @BillAckman make a post over 2000 characters long on November 4, 2025?
BillAckman's X profile
1 source
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$20.00 Yes
To win
$38.45+92%
Boosted
$0.00
bycontext103d ago
Lost
Will any of the specified NYC reporters post that election turnout favors Andrew Cuomo before polls close on November 4, 2025?
createcraig's X profileemilyngo's X profileJCColtin's X profile
14 sources
Resolved Nov 5 2025
Bought$1.00 Yes
To win
$2.03+102%
Boosted
$0.00
byaffirmex105d ago
Lost
Will any NFL team score 39 or more points during Week 8 of the 2025 season?
NFL's X profileAdamSchefter's X profileRapSheet's X profile
7 sources
Resolved Oct 27 2025
Bought$10.00 No
To win
$30.36+203%
Boosted
$0.00