Will @pmarca post anything that could be deemed as introspective on X within the next 30 days?
12% chance
Andreessen mocks introspection as 'thumbsucking' and posts ironic 'retardmaxxing' status updates; no genuine reflection yet.
5 posts
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if This market resolves YES if Marc Andreessen (@pmarca) posts at least one original tweet or thread on X/Twitter by April 15, 2026 that could reasonably be deemed introspective — meaning it reflects on his own beliefs, past decisions, personal experiences, mindset, emotional state, self-doubt, personal growth, or philosophical worldview in a first-person, reflective manner. Retweets, quote tweets of others' content without personal reflection, and purely promotional or link-sharing posts do not count. Sarcasm, irony, or shitposting that is clearly performative rather than genuinely reflective does not count. The post must demonstrate genuine self-examination or personal reflection, not simply an opinion on external events. This market resolves NO if no such post appears on @pmarca's timeline by the deadline.
Resolution source
Resolution will be determined by analyzing posts from the x.com accounts above.
Resolves by
April 15, 2026 at 04:00:00 PM UTC
Buy$222.12 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,570.72 No @ 83¢
Buy$222.12 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,570.72 No @ 83¢
Buy$222.12 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,570.72 No @ 83¢
Buy$160.78 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,136.92 No @ 82¢
Buy$219.73 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,553.78 No @ 82¢
$
Available $0.00Total$0.00
To win$0.00Average --
Will @pmarca post anything that could be deemed as introspective on X within the next 30 days?
12% chance
Andreessen mocks introspection as 'thumbsucking' and posts ironic 'retardmaxxing' status updates; no genuine reflection yet.
5 posts
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if This market resolves YES if Marc Andreessen (@pmarca) posts at least one original tweet or thread on X/Twitter by April 15, 2026 that could reasonably be deemed introspective — meaning it reflects on his own beliefs, past decisions, personal experiences, mindset, emotional state, self-doubt, personal growth, or philosophical worldview in a first-person, reflective manner. Retweets, quote tweets of others' content without personal reflection, and purely promotional or link-sharing posts do not count. Sarcasm, irony, or shitposting that is clearly performative rather than genuinely reflective does not count. The post must demonstrate genuine self-examination or personal reflection, not simply an opinion on external events. This market resolves NO if no such post appears on @pmarca's timeline by the deadline.
Resolution source
Resolution will be determined by analyzing posts from the x.com accounts above.
Resolves by
April 15, 2026 at 04:00:00 PM UTC
Buy$222.12 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,570.72 No @ 83¢
Buy$222.12 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,570.72 No @ 83¢
Buy$222.12 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,570.72 No @ 83¢
Buy$160.78 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,136.92 No @ 82¢
Buy$219.73 Yes @ 12¢
Buy$1,553.78 No @ 82¢