Will major retailers announce a nationwide matcha stock-out or Japan suspend exports?
1% chance
No matcha shortages reported; retailers launching new products while Japanese exports continue normally.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if by April 12, 2026, either: (1) Major U.S. retailers (e.g., Starbucks, Dunkin') announce a nationwide matcha stock-out reflecting a shortage in NYC, or (2) Reports confirm Japan has suspended or restricted matcha exports specifically impacting the U.S. market. Reports must be from credible financial or news organizations.
Evidence may come from the specified X accounts or from official sources, major news outlets, or domain experts via web research.
Resolution source
Web researchAI will search the web for authoritative sources
Resolution will be determined by web research and x.com account analysis.
Resolves by
April 12, 2026 at 08:31:00 PM UTC
No activity yet
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Will major retailers announce a nationwide matcha stock-out or Japan suspend exports?
1% chance
No matcha shortages reported; retailers launching new products while Japanese exports continue normally.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if by April 12, 2026, either: (1) Major U.S. retailers (e.g., Starbucks, Dunkin') announce a nationwide matcha stock-out reflecting a shortage in NYC, or (2) Reports confirm Japan has suspended or restricted matcha exports specifically impacting the U.S. market. Reports must be from credible financial or news organizations.
Evidence may come from the specified X accounts or from official sources, major news outlets, or domain experts via web research.
Resolution source
Web researchAI will search the web for authoritative sources
Resolution will be determined by web research and x.com account analysis.
Resolves by
April 12, 2026 at 08:31:00 PM UTC
No activity yet