Will United States military forces take control of Kharg Island?
30% chance
No reports of Kharg Island capture; officials confirm conflict is ongoing without ground seizure.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if by April 19, 2026, 6:24 PM ET, there is a verified announcement that U.S. military forces have established control or captured Kharg Island (Iran). Evidence must indicate actual seizure of the island, not just military strikes or a blockade. Mainstream news or official government statements will be used for resolution.
Evidence may come from the specified X accounts or from official sources, major news outlets, or domain experts via web research.
Resolution source
Web researchAI will search the web for authoritative sources
Resolution will be determined by web research and x.com account analysis.
Resolves by
April 19, 2026 at 10:24:00 PM UTC
No activity yet
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Available $0.00Total$0.00
To win$0.00Average --
Will United States military forces take control of Kharg Island?
30% chance
No reports of Kharg Island capture; officials confirm conflict is ongoing without ground seizure.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if by April 19, 2026, 6:24 PM ET, there is a verified announcement that U.S. military forces have established control or captured Kharg Island (Iran). Evidence must indicate actual seizure of the island, not just military strikes or a blockade. Mainstream news or official government statements will be used for resolution.
Evidence may come from the specified X accounts or from official sources, major news outlets, or domain experts via web research.
Resolution source
Web researchAI will search the web for authoritative sources
Resolution will be determined by web research and x.com account analysis.
Resolves by
April 19, 2026 at 10:24:00 PM UTC
No activity yet